Wednesday, May 15, 2013

New GolfWRX Column: Tiger's Game is Statistically Primed for the US Open

Here are my picks for the Byron Nelson:

Keegan Bradley: 18/1
Dustin Johnson: 20/1
Ryan Palmer: 22/1
Ben Crane: 35/1
Jeff Overton: 35/1
Freddie Jacobson: 40/1
Charley Hoffman: 50/1
Harris English: 50/1
Casey Wittenberg: 125/1

Value Pick: Morgan Hoffmann 150/1

When I made my Masters picks a month ago, I mentioned how conservatively Tiger Woods has been playing off the tee. I felt that would work against him at Augusta, where distance usually takes reign over the course. However, I feel that this conservative strategy and style of play will have him primed for a U.S. Open victory at the shorter Merion Golf Club. And this was on display this past week at Sawgrass.

First, let’s go over a couple of key metrics that appear to mean the same thing, but are very different in what they describe.

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