Tuesday, July 28, 2020

What To Look For: 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

Michael Thompson won the 3M Open at 125/1 odds last week:

This week the Tour returns to Memphis to play the most underrated course on Tour (according to Billy Horschel).

TPC Southwind is well respected by the players.  It's a course that stresses versatility in the iron play and the ability to get up-and-down when greens are missed.  The field usually averages around 60% of fairways hit and about 62% of greens in regulation hit.

The 18th hole is the final 'critical' hole of the course.

18 is an interesting hole because those that can hit a driver that finds the fairway will find the green about 80% of the time.  But if you miss this fairway the GIR% drops to ~35%.  And there's also water on the left that comes into play on both the tee shot and approach.

The data shows that the average player in the field should utilize a target that is about 2-3 yards left of the last fairway bunker.

Projected Winning Score: -14


Rory McIlroy +1,100
Byrson DeChambeau +1,200
Patrick Cantlay +1,600
Webb Simpson +2,000
Tyrrell Hatton +2,800
Hideki Matsuyama +2,800


Tony Finau +3,300
Joaquin Niemann +8,000
Shane Lowry +15,000
Tom Lewis +20,000


1 comment:

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