Monday, February 15, 2016

3Jack Golf PGA Tour Rundown - Riviera

It’s back! The weekly PGA Tour rundown. Due to a busy schedule and taking care of other things, I wanted to take a break from doing the PGA Tour rundown. But, I plan on running the Tour rundown every week this season.

Anyway, Vaughn Taylor won at Pebble Beach. Marking his first victory in 11 years:



Taylor actually had quality metrics over the past two seasons, so it doesn’t surprise me that he could get into contention. The issue for him was that he could not quite crack the top-10 in events and if you’re not doing that your likelihood of keeping your Tour card drops dramatically.

Here’s my picks for Riviera:

Jordan Spieth +650
Dustin Johnson +1600
Hideki Matsuyama +1600
Billy Horschel +7000
Jason Dufner +7000
Gary Woodland +7500
Danny Lee +8000
Patrick Rodgers +10000
Lucas Glover +16000

Value Pick: Chez Reavie +27500

This year, I’m adding my adjusted driving distance and adjusted hit fairway % rankings to the list. These metrics are simply adjusted based on the events they have played. For instance, if two players A and B hit 60% of their fairways for the season, but player A has played events where the field average is hitting 55% of the fairways while player B is playing in events where the field average is hitting 65% of the fairways, player A is effectively more accurate off the tee.


DRIVING DISTANCE



1. Bubba Watson
2. Dustin Johnson
3. J.B. Holmes
4. Andrew Loupe
5. Trey Mullinax
6. Gary Woodland
7. Jason Kokrak
8. Rory McIlroy
9. Luke List
10. Ryan Palmer
11. Jamie Lovemark
12. Tony Finau
13. Ryan Ruffels
14. Brooks Koepka
15. Jason Day
16. Ollie Schniederjans
17. Smylie Kaufman
18. Patrick Rodgers
19. Charlie Beljan
20. Robert Garrigus


198. Luke Donald
199. Cameron Beckman
200. K.J. Choi
201. Billy Hurley III
202. Brian Stuard
203. Steve Stricker
204. Lucas Lee
205. Dicky Pride
206. Zac Blair
207. Colt Knost
208. Mark Wilson
209. Tim Clark
210. Brian Gay
211. Brian Davis
212. Jon Curran
213. Justin Leonard
214. Fred Funk
215. David Toms
216. John Huh
217. Darron Stiles


ADJUSTED HIT FWY %



1. Paul Casey
2. Greg Chalmers
3. Thomas Aiken
4. Colt Knost
5. Danny Lee
6. John Peterson
7. John Huh
8. Jason Bohn
9. David Toms
10. Zac Blair
11. Bill Haas
12. Emiliano Grillo
13. Kevin Kisner
14. Nicholas Thompson
15. Mark Wilson
16. Justin Leonard
17. Ben Crane
18. Jerry Kelly
19. Rickie Fowler
20. Brice Garnett


198. Michael Putnam
199. Miguel Angel Carballo
200. Luke Guthrie
201. Jason Kokrak
202. Rhein Gibson
203. Paul Dunne
204. Ricky Barnes
205. Carlos Ortiz
206. Derek Fathauer
207. Luke List
208. Shawn Stefani
209. Trey Mullinax
210. Andrew Loupe
211. Seung-Yul Noh
212. Andres Gonzales
213. Carl Pettersson
214. Patton Kizzire
215. Robert Garrigus
216. Blake Adams
217. Rob Oppenheim


DRIVING EFFECTIVENESS



1. Paul Casey
2. Kevin Kisner
3. Jordan Spieth
4. Emiliano Grillo
5. Rickie Fowler
6. Rory McIlroy
7. Bubba Watson
8. Scott Piercy
9. Danny Lee
10. Jason Bohn
11. Jim Herman
12. Nicholas Thompson
13. Russell Henley
14. Scott Pinckney
15. Webb Simpson
16. Hideki Matsuyama
17. J.B. Holmes
18. Boo Weekley
19. Phil Mickelson
20. Billy Horschel


198. Patton Kizzire
199. Darron Stiles
200. Andres Romero
201. Ricky Barnes
202. D.H. Lee
203. Brian Gay
204. D.J. Trahan
205. Steve Stricker
206. Carl Pettersson
207. Robert Garrigus
208. Steven Bowditch
209. Bud Cauley
210. Trey Mullinax
211. Andres Gonzales
212. Michael Putnam
213. Luke Guthrie
214. Derek Fathauer
215. Luke Donald
216. Blake Adams
217. Rob Oppenheim


RED ZONE PLAY (175-225 YARDS)



1. Trey Mullinax
2. Hideki Matsuyama
3. John Merrick
4. Adam Scott
5. Robert Streb
6. Emiliano Grillo
7. Billy Hurley III
8. Rory McIlroy
9. Greg Chalmers
10. Vaughn Taylor
11. Geoff Ogilvy
12. Robert Garrigus
13. Darron Stiles
14. Jason Gore
15. Jason Bohn
16. Andrew Loupe
17. Boo Weekley
18. Hudson Swafford
19. Phil Mickelson
20. Davis Love III


198. Seung-Yul Noh
199. Carlos Ortiz
200. Whee Kim
201. Troy Merritt
202. Stuart Appleby
203. Scott Pinckney
204. Brendon Todd
205. John Peterson
206. Andres Romero
207. J.J. Henry
208. Michael Putnam
209. Vijay Singh
210. Angel Cabrera
211. Brian Gay
212. Paul Dunne
213. Hunter Mahan
214. Bo Van Pelt
215. Ian Poulter
216. Justin Leonard
217. Ryan Ruffels


YELLOW ZONE PLAY (125-175 YARDS)



1. Ryan Ruffels
2. Luke Donald
3. Justin Leonard
4. Vaughn Taylor
5. Brian Stuard
6. Rod Pampling
7. Kevin Na
8. Hideki Matsuyama
9. Brian Davis
10. Billy Horschel
11. Kyle Stanley
12. Robert Garrigus
13. Daniel Berger
14. Jerry Kelly
15. Phil Mickelson
16. Greg Owen
17. David Hearn
18. Padraig Harrington
19. Matt Every
20. Gary Woodland


198. D.H. Lee
199. Patrick Rodgers
200. D.A. Points
201. Trey Mullinax
202. Wes Roach
203. Derek Ernst
204. Stuart Appleby
205. Hunter Mahan
206. Andrew Loupe
207. Steve Marino
208. Andrew Landry
209. Troy Merritt
210. Charl Schwartzel
211. Jarrod Lyle
212. Blake Adams
213. Paul Dunne
214. Bud Cauley
215. Ollie Schniederjans
216. Jordan Spieth
217. Greg Chalmers


GREEN ZONE (75-125 YARDS)



1. Charl Schwartzel
2. Andrew Landry
3. Jimmy Walker
4. Billy Horschel
5. Rob Oppenheim
6. Fred Funk
7. Steve Stricker
8. Jason Dufner
9. Will MacKenzie
10. Chad Campbell
11. Francesco Molinari
12. Stewart Cink
13. Luke Guthrie
14. Rickie Fowler
15. John Peterson
16. Henrik Norlander
17. Keegan Bradley
18. Greg Owen
19. J.B. Holmes
20. Matt Every


198. Ollie Schniederjans
199. Andres Romero
200. Marc Leishman
201. Cameron Beckman
202. George McNeill
203. Michael Putnam
204. Charlie Beljan
205. Billy Hurley III
206. Rod Pampling
207. Adam Hadwin
208. Blayne Barber
209. Webb Simpson
210. John Huh
211. Sean O'Hair
212. Morgan Hoffmann
213. D.H. Lee
214. Paul Dunne
215. Ian Poulter
216. Andres Gonzales
217. Angel Cabrera


SHORT GAME PLAY

1. Hideki Matsuyama
2. Bud Cauley
3. Gary Woodland
4. Padraig Harrington
5. Brian Gay
6. Jarrod Lyle
7. Cameron Beckman
8. Rickie Fowler
9. Luke List
10. Fabian Gomez
11. Tim Wilkinson
12. Brice Garnett
13. Chris Kirk
14. Scott Langley
15. John Peterson
16. Matt Jones
17. Freddie Jacobson
18. Chad Campbell
19. Lucas Glover
20. Adam Scott


198. John Senden
199. Jhonattan Vegas
200. Scott Stallings
201. Andres Gonzales
202. George McNeill
203. Paul Dunne
204. Rory Sabbatini
205. William McGirt
206. Daniel Summerhays
207. Robert Allenby
208. Matt Kuchar
209. Johnson Wagner
210. Paul Casey
211. Graham DeLaet
212. Ryan Ruffels
213. Graeme McDowell
214. Chesson Hadley
215. John Merrick
216. Pat Perez
217. Greg Chalmers





3JACK

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