Thursday, January 21, 2021

What to Look For: 2021 American Express

Kevin Na wins at Waialae

This week the Tour returns to Palm Springs.

The American Express tournament has a cut after 54-holes.  Each player plays one round at La Quinta CC, one at the Jack Nicklaus Tournament course and then 1 round at the PGA West Stadium Course.  Then the final round is played again at the PGA West Stadium Course.

This is usually the biggest birdie-fest on Tour.  It's mainly due to the lack of length and very receptive greens.  Usually the proximity to the cup on Yellow Zone shots is the shortest on Tour and the same with shots from 10-20 yards.  But in general most strokes are lost and gained from the Yellow Zone here.

The problem is that it's such an easy layout of courses projecting winners or top finishers is extremely difficult.

Projected Winning Score: -26


Patrick Cantlay +1,100
Patrick Reed +1,600
Brooks Koepka +2,000
Sung-Jae Im +2,000

Sam Burns +5,000


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