Wednesday, October 6, 2021

What To Look For: 2021 Shriners Childrens Open

Sam Burns won the Sanderson Farms Championship last week.




Not only was Burns in my top picks to win, but I was 9-5-2 in my singles matchups.

This week the Tour comes to Las Vegas for the Shriner's Childrens Open.  Not sure why they dropped 'hospital' from the title...



Last week I discussed how The Sanderson Farms Championship is starting to grow on Tour veterans.  The Shriner's Childrens Open is one of the more favorite Tour stops on Tour.  

A large subset of the Tour lives in the Palm Beach/Jupiter Florida area, Orlando, Scottsdale, Sea Island Georgia and the Dallas area.  But a growing number of players live in the Las Vegas area as it has a major airport, good winter weather and private clubs that will cater to their every need and basically leave them alone.

TPC Summerlin is a fair track and doesn't beat up their ego too much and since it's Vegas, there's a lot of big moneyed people with a lot of power and influence along with the high rollers.  It's also endorsed by Justin Timberlake so it has the celebrity vibe going on as well.

As a course, it's very much about iron play, particularly from 150-175 yards.  Players typically will hit 70%+ of the greens.  And it's a good thing because it's one of the top-3 most difficult courses to get up-and-down from 10+ yards.  It yields a lot of birdies, but a mistake by missing a green puts the player at high risk of making bogey or worse.

Having said all of that, in recent years it has favored some of the more 'all-around' players on Tour like Webb Simpson and Martin Laird.  The data leads to the winner being an all around player who has the best week on Tour from 150-200 yards.

3JACK'S FAVORITES

Viktor Hovland +2,000
Abraham Ancer +2,200
Brooks Koepka +2,200
Hideki Matsuyama +2,500
Paul Casey +3,300

3JACK'S DARK HORSE PICKS

Joaquin Niemann +4,000
Russell Henley +6,600
Emiliano Grillo +10,000
Joel Dahmen +15,000
Doug Ghim +15,000


Since there are so many tournament matchups for this event, I put them into Google Sheets.  You can access them by following this link:




3JACK



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